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Afternoon comments on Hong Kong stocks: Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00%, Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%, and Hong Kong stocks opened higher and fell back. By midday, Hang Seng Index rose by 1.00% and Hang Seng Technology Index rose by 0.79%. On the first day of listing, Mao Geping rose by 78.19%, and it rose by over 5%. Shang Tang fell more than 4%.Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.Morgan Stanley issued a technical opinion report that it is believed that the share price of CITIC Securities will rise in the next 30 days. The bank believes that the above scenario will happen 70% to 80% of the time. The bank pointed out that the upward trend is mainly due to the supportive policy tone before the domestic economic work conference, which may raise market sentiment, which should promote the average daily trading volume to rebound and increase market leverage. The bank believes that CITIC Securities is a high-quality and widely recognized brokerage firm, and will have good conditions to consolidate its market share when capital market activities increase. Morgan Stanley gave CITIC Securities a rating of "keeping pace with the market" and a target price of HK$ 21.2.

Heavy meeting set the tone! The turnover of A-shares exceeded one trillion yuan for 50 consecutive trading days, focusing on the opportunities of core assets of A50ETF Huabao (159596). On December 10th, the A-share market rose across the board, and the turnover of Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets exceeded one trillion yuan for the 50th consecutive trading day, setting a new record. By midday, A50ETF Huabao (159596) had increased by 1.98%, with a turnover of 101 million yuan. In terms of constituent stocks, the top ten awkward stocks rose more and fell less. CITIC Securities led the gains, and China Ping An, China Merchants Bank and other stocks followed suit. According to changjiang securities's analysis, "moderately loose monetary policy" indicates abundant liquidity and broad-spectrum interest rate is still in the downward channel, which is expected to benefit bonds and stocks from the denominator. The "more active fiscal policy" and "all-round expansion of domestic demand" indicate that the broad credit policy is expected to continue to increase, and it is expected to support the price of equity assets from the molecular side.Saudi Arabia said that Israel's attack on Syria violated international law.Musk showed that robots conquer rugged terrain without relying on visual system. Tesla released a video showing the latest progress of its humanoid robot Optimus walking on complex terrain. The video shows that Optimus can walk steadily on a hill slope covered with mulch. Tesla CEO Elon Musk said on social media that the robot can control its electric limbs through neural networks and can walk on this rugged terrain without remote control.

Zhejiang provincial enterprise asset disposal platform signed the first batch of contracts and officially started the entrusted receipt and disposal of more than 370 assets. According to Zhejiang Daily, on December 6, the provincial enterprise asset disposal platform signed strategic cooperation agreements with the first batch of four provincial enterprises, including Hangzhou Iron and Steel Group, Provincial Agricultural Development Group, Zhejiang University Holding Group and Provincial Natural Resources Group, and officially started the entrusted receipt and disposal of more than 370 assets, including equity, creditor's rights, land and real estate.Dotinolole, a new drug used by Weicai to treat gout, was approved for marketing in China. On December 10th, Weicai China announced that its new urate reuptake inhibitor Dotinolole tablets (trade name: Youlesi) had been approved by National Medical Products Administration (NMPA) in China, and its indication was gout with hyperuricemia.Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock: I will not agree with the market's reaction to the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate path. The market reaction to the statement is not surprising.